Talavera In 3D - Turn Nine

Map

Situation after eight turns

My three activation dice land 4, 4, 3. I reroll both 4s, getting 4, 2.

In area 2 my artillery shoot at the advancing French infantry, rolling 6, 1, 1, thus eliminating a base.

In area 3 my two-base infantry on the hill shoot at the one-base French in the copse. The three dice are increased for being on higher ground, but decreased for firing through trees, and for the enemy having cover. However, I roll 6, 3, eliminating the French unit.

I have no troops in area 4, so that die is wasted.

The French are reduced to seven units, but I too have only seven, and I must have more units across the river than the French at the end of turn 10 to win

The AI's four activation dice land 6, 6, 5, 4, with the wildcard 6s wasted as the French commander is dead.

In area 4 the infantry advance into the nearby copse and shoot at my men in the trees beside Talavera. The four dice are decreased for moving, for firing through intervening trees and for the target being in cover, but a 5 is rolled, eliminating a base.

In area 5 the forward one-base infantry shoot at my three-base unit, the two dice decreased thanks to firing through trees, and a 1 is rolled. The other one-base French shoot at my men in the copse, the two dice decreased because of cover. A 4 is rolled, forcing my men back diagonally left.

I will need good activation dice next turn to have any chance of snatching victory from likely defeat